- Open Access
- Total Downloads : 425
- Authors : Jayasree K , Srilatha A, Bharathi M.B
- Paper ID : IJERTV2IS2540
- Volume & Issue : Volume 02, Issue 02 (February 2013)
- Published (First Online): 28-02-2013
- ISSN (Online) : 2278-0181
- Publisher Name : IJERT
- License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Feasibility Analysis For Planning Of Parking Markets In Commercial Areas
Jayasree Ka, Srilatha Ab , Bharathi M.Bc
a.Professor, Malla Reddy Engineering College, Secunderabad
b.Assistant Professor, Malla Reddy Engineering College, Secunderabad
c.Assistant Professor, Malla Reddy Engineering College, Secunderabad
Abstract
A balance of oversupply and undersupply of parking system has a striking influence on the overall transportation and land development system that helps to realize community development objectives such as land use efficiency, good urban design and economic vitality. The planning of such systems poses a critical threat to the planners especially in the crowded commercial areas where high land use intensity leads to poor level of service and operational conditions on the neighborhood supply systems. Parking markets acceptable to the road users that cater to the peak demands of the future traffic can reduce the intensity of congestion and can promote an improved transportation system in the urban fabric. An attempt has been made in this study to develop a framework for conducting the feasibility analysis for parking markets comprising of multilevel parking structures. The guiding principles for the feasibility check considered in the study are the user preferences, user demand profiles and the walking impedance to provide road user dominated system that meets the need of users and non-users. Preliminary traffic impact analysis of the proposed parking centers is also attempted on the neighborhood corridors to recommend the parking management measures. A case study of 3 parking markets in Powai area of Mumbai is taken for analysis.
Key words: Community development, neighborhood supply, parking markets, urban fabric, road user dominated system.
-
Introduction.
Parking plays an important role in mobility, access and the economic development of cities; at the same time, it is a profitable business for both the private and public sectors. Parking is an essential part of the overall transportation and land development system, as well as a means to help realize other community development objectives such as land use efficiency, good urban design and economic vitality. An oversupply of parking is costly for business, visually unattractive, and may negatively impact urban design and streetscape. Conversely, an undersupply of spaces may compromise access and circulation, and create spillover problems for adjacent uses. It is, therefore, important for the supply of parking to strike a balance between oversupply and undersupply.
-
Purpose and Objectives of study.
The purpose of study is to assess parking demand for the design of Multi level car parking facilities in some selected stretches in Powai, Greater Mumbai. Following are the specific objectives framed in the study.
-
Development of a comprehensive parking plan for the study area
-
Future parking demand assessment
-
Identify the location and concentration of any parking surpluses;
-
Examine utilization of on-street spaces in terms of maximizing the availability of convenient short-term, on-street parking areas that depend on that support.
-
Evaluate the effectiveness of current enforcement against standards recognized within the government.
-
Identify any parking related problems and suggest remedial measures
-
Preliminary traffic impact analysis due to parking markets
-
3.0 Literature Review.
Parking plays an important role in the transport system since all vehicles require storage.Parking demand problems have been studied for many years and got much progress on approach. The approaches can be divided into three types, the Network analysis model, Probabilistic models and linear programming models.
The first one, such as Young [1] used the Network analysis models for the center business district area of Cincinnati. Because of the geographical location, the CBD has limited alternatives to cope with major traffic demands. Sleepy Hollow [2] used the characteristics like Land use profiles, Roadway characteristics, Intersections in the area of influence, Location of bus stops, Traffic characteristics, Parking characteristics, Travel profiles, Utilities for the analysis and location of parking sites. Xiuyuan ZHANG, Yaming SHAO [3] and Wilbur Smith [4] assessed the parking demand using Parking usage survey, Parking Intercept survey and classified volume count surveys. Rich and Associates [5] evaluated the current and the Future Parking Demands considering all the relevant parking characteristics. Shoup [6] assessed parking demand based on the accumulation of vehicles parked at a given time. Shoup[7] found that many people assume that their parking demand will be met at no cost, thus cities use peak demand for free parking spaces to determine the required parking ratios . Shoup, advocating getting rid of parking requirements all together, argues that by eliminating the inefficiency of requiring off-street parking, over time the ratio of parking spaces to people will decline and the cost of parking will increase . Tsukaguchi [8] provided an overview of traffic management giving considerations on parking. Tsukaguchi and Jung [9] studied and developed a parking assignment model for the High-tech Business District of Osaka City, Japan. The future parking demand based on the Trip attractions and the
feasibility of the parking market can be found out from the network analysis as described by Russell, G.
T. and Anthony, J.R.[10].
The second is the Probabilistic models which gives the analysis of the existing parking demand based on the attraction indices as described by Evans, S.P[11].
In linear programming models, the objective function minimizes the modified walking distances of users from parking lots to destinations over the study period subject to the demand and supply constraints. The modified walking distance, in fact, consisted of two terms; the actual distance and the parking fee. Eldin et al. [12], Anthony Gibbons[13] studied the parking issue in the High-tech Business District by integrating parking with the traffic assignment problem. Theoretically, two link types had been proposed in their study. They are real links and imaginary links that were utilized to connect real links with the destinations. The imaginary links consisted of searching-time links, parking links and walk links. The searching time links corresponded to the time that driver spends in finding a parking space. The parking links represented the parking fee that users had to pay for their parking. The walk links accounted for the walking time from the parking lot to the destination.
-
Methodology.
The methodological framework has been framed under the following modules.
-
Module 1: Development of GIS base map of the area of influence.
GIS base map development involves identification of road network under the area of influence of the study area, spatial referencing the road network with GPS coordinates and projecting the map using a suitable reference system. The area of influence is selected based on the acceptable walking distance to the proposed parking markets which is considered as 0.5 km.
-
Module 2: Survey development and data schema.
Surveys for road network characterization, travel pattern and traffic characterization , parking characterization gives an input data required for
analysis. Series of surveys to be conducted with its relative importance to assess parking demnd is given in table 1.
Table 1: Surveys and its relative importance.
S
. N
o
Name of survey
Details collected during the survey
Duration of survey
Method adopted
1
Road inventory survey and
parking space inventory survey
Total length of kerb, and lengths governed by no waiting and limiting waiting restrictions
Number of parking spaces provided on the street Street width
Location of bus stops, bus bays, pedestrian crossings etc that are likely to affect the use of the street for parking
Traffic management measures in force, such as prohibited turns, one way streets, exclusive bus lanes etc
Number and type of traffic signs for regulation of parking
Median locations Information on parking lots
–
Manual
2
Reconnaisance survey
Identification of existing parking locations on street and off-street
Vacant or unused land suitable for temporary or permanent parking spaces.
Existing land use details
Upcoming establishments in the area of influence
–
Manual
3
Parking usage survey
No. of parked vehicles
16 hrs on a neutral weekday and weekend
Patrolling
4
Parking intercept survey
extent of usage of the parking facilities, parking requirements and demand,
the distribution of demand over an area and time journey purposes of car parkers
16 hrs on a neutral weekday and weekend
Stated preference approach / Opinion survey
5
Classified volume count survey
Traffic flows on major links in the area of influence
12 hr counts on 2 neutral weekdays and one week end
Manual
The parking study initially evaluates existing conditions, determined primarily through parking occupancy surveys, and intercept surveys through interviews. The examination of existing conditions provides the baseline data from which future development, with its impact on parking supply and demand, could be evaluated.
-
Module 3: Assessment of existing parking demand.
Existing parking demand is assessed in terms of parking accumulation, parking index, parking turnover, parking utility on the road links in the area of influence. The parking demand from the upcoming development is to be considered to assess the total demand in the analysis.
-
Module 4: Determination of attraction potential for the parking markets.
Impedance factor measured in terms of distance governs the attraction of the parking users to the sites. To identify the probability of attraction to a parking market site, a statistical distribution function is fitted from the distance matrix.
-
Module 5: Estimation of trip growth rate
The trip growth is a function of the demographic and socio economic factors like population, employment , workers and vehicle registrations. The past growth trends were analyzed and the future parking demand was assessed based on the trend analysis. A design period of 30 years was considered for the analysis.
-
Module 6: Future parking demand estimation.
The growth rate of trips or parking users is considered as a proxy to the growth rates of population, employment and vehicle registrations. An average of the growth rates is considered for the study to assess the future parking demand in the area.
-
Module 7: Preliminary traffic impact analysis of parking markets.
Preliminary traffic impact analysis is done to know the impact of the parking markets on the traffic. The intersections and the major links that area affected in
the area of influence are considered in impact assessment.
-
Module 8: Feasibility of the location of parking markets.
Feasibility on the location of parking markets is done based on the future parking demand assessment and the traffic impacts of the parking markets. The framework is outlined in Figure 1.
the identified study locations to assess the demand for multi level parking facilities. An approximate radius of about 800 m was covered under the study as
-
Study area.
Three sites namely Jalvayu Vihar site, Bus Terminal site, Fab India site in Powai, Mumbai are more potential was observed during the reconnaissance survey. The land use in the area of influence is dominantly residential establishments followed by retail / office and commercial establishments. Nine major roads, Poway road, Orchard Avenue, Birchwood street, High street, central avenue, forest street, Ridge street, Lake Blvd Road, Jalvihar road have been identified in the area of influence. Powai road is the major arterial road amongst all the roads and all the corridors connect to the Powai road. Nine stretches of parking locations have been identified in the area of influence that has proximity to the parking sites identified. The location of parking stretches with their extent is shown in the figure 3. All the parking lots identified are unauthorized on street parking lots.
Site Appraisal
Site Appraisal
Development of GIS base map
Impedance evaluation
Probabilistic modeling Attraction indices Accessibility mapping through network analysis
Development of GIS base map
Impedance evaluation
Probabilistic modeling Attraction indices Accessibility mapping through network analysis
Estimation of demand supply gap
Estimation of demand supply gap
Spatial analysis
Spatial analysis
Secondary data collection and
analysis
Secondary data collection and
analysis
Primary surveys
Primary surveys
Assessment of existing parking demand and supply
Assessment of existing parking demand and supply
Future demand estimation
Future demand estimation
Assessment of additional demand due to upcoming developments
LOS analysis
Traffic Impact assessment – Preliminary
Trip rate assessment through proxy variables
Recommendations, Impacts, Success factors,
Guidelines
Community participation
Recommendations, Impacts, Success factors,
Guidelines
Community participation
Figure 1. Methodology adopted for the study
-
Application of Methodology.
The methodology is applied to the study area in the following modules.
-
Module 1: Development of GIS base map of the area of influence.
The GIS base map developed showing the existing parking locations is shown in the figure 2
Figure 2. Base map of the study area
-
Module 2: Survey development and data schema
The surveys mentioned in table 1 of methodology have been conducted in the catchment area of the site. Nine locations were identified in the influence area for the parking usage survey which are shown in figure 3.
Figure 3. Location of parking spots in the study area- Their variation with respect to widths.
The peak and total parking accumulation, peak parking hour, parking turn over are presented in table 2 below
Table 2. Critical parking parameters after comparison of week day and week end profiles
S.No
Road name
Total parking accumulation in ECS
Peak parking accumulation in ECS
Peak parking turnover
Peak parking hour
1
Fab India – BG
887
48
5.57
7:00 PM
2
BG Orchid
4335
196
14.9
11.30 am
3
Histreet Somerset
729
39
7.77
8.30 pm
4
Bayer BG
1791
94
11.1
12.30 pm
5
Bayer Shopping
3172
184
11.74
3.30 pm
6
Jalvayu School
835
65
8.5
1:00 PM
7
Bayer School
2726
130
8.99
7.30 pm
8
Bus terminal Site
690
37
13.9
1.30 pm
9
Hiranandani School OS Garden
1312
77
7.03
6:00 PM
Parking index is the percentage of theoretically available number of parking bays actually occupied by parked vehicles. The peak parking index and the average parking index observed during 15.5 hours is
represented in the table 3. Parking utility which is the percentage of parking capacity by parking accumulation is also indicated in the table
Table 3. Parking index and utility characteristics of parking lots.
SNO
Road name
Peak Parking index in %
Average parking index observed during 15.5 hours in %
Parking capacity in ECS
Peak parking accumulation in ECS
Parking utility in %
Week day
Week end
Week day
Week end
1
Fab India – BG
62
61
35
35
92
48
52
2
BG Orchid
100
81
86
49
171
196
115
3
Histreet Somerset
85
81
47
48
48
39
81
4
Bayer BG
100
100
71
72
48
94
196
5
Bayer Shopping
100
93
66
47
165
184
112
6
Jalvayu School
100
90
51
52
50
65
130
7
Bayer School
87
57
58
35
180
130
72
8
Bus terminal Site
100
100
82
85
22
37
168
9
Hiranandani School OS Garden
82
32
44
20
97
77
79
About 10% of the sample is chosen for the parking intercept survey. It has been observed that the parking users constitute majority of cars followed by two wheelers. Mumbai city has been divided into
11 zones where first zone falls under Powai. The users responses on the approximate distance from parking lot to the destination 65% of the parking users walk at a distance of less than 100m. 32% of the users have trip purpose as work, 19% shopping, 21% leisure and 28% others. In the area of influence,
47.5 % users have come for the basic purpose of the work. Out of 47.5 %, 19.3 % are residents, 49 % are visitors and 31 % are workers. Majority of the residents visit daily for work and majority of the visitors visit occasionally for work. Most (36 %) respondents occasionally drive to the area. Twenty three percent ( 23 %) are weekly visitors while 21
% are infrequent visitors. The vast majority (72 %) park for less than one hour indicating the need for an adequate supply of short-term parking.During the observations and survey of the area, most of the users were able to find parking within two to four minutes. The fact that over 20 % need more than two minutes to find parking may indicate a need to improve the parking availability in the area due to lack of parking areas. On an average, 59% of the users were satisfied with the existing facility whereas 41% were not satisfied.
-
Module 3 and 4: Existing parking demand and attraction potential for the parking markets.
The distance matrix obtained from the network analysis is shown in the table 4 below. The values in the matrix indicate the shortest distance in meters from the parking lot to the three sites individually.
Table 4. Distance matrix.
SNO
Road name
Distance in meters
Site 1
Site 2
Site 3
1
Fab India – BG
195
300
0
2
BG Orchid
448
308
220
3
Histreet Somerset
457
173
347
4
Bayer BG
478
245
275
5
Bayer Shopping
864
661
636
6
Jalvayu School
216
67
587
7
Bayer School
496
380
636
8
Bus terminal Site
283
0
520
9
Hiranandani School
OS Garden
350
67
453
Impedance factor measured in terms of distance governs the attraction of the parking users to the sites. To identify the probability of attraction to a site, an exponential distribution function is fitted. Since the acceptable data range for an exponential distribution function ranges from 0 to 4, the distance matrix has been normalized to the scale of 0 to 4. Probability of attraction is inversely proportional to the impedance factor. Hence zero normalization indicates high attractiveness whereas 4.0 scaling indicates less attractiveness. The normalized matrix is shown in the following table 5.
Table 5: Normalized matrix to a scale of 0 to 4 (Effective area in exponential distribution)
SNO
Road name
Site 1
Site 2
Site 3
1
Fab India – BG
0.90
1.39
0.00
2
BG Orchid
2.07
1.39
1.02
3
Histreet Somerset
2.12
0.80
1.61
4
Bayer BG
2.21
1.13
1.27
5
Bayer Shopping
4.00
3.06
2.94
6
Jalvayu School
1.00
0.31
2.72
7
Bayer School
2.30
1.76
2.94
8
Bus terminal Site
1.31
0.00
2.41
9
Hiranandani School OS Garden
1.62
0.31
2.10
The objective function is minimization of distance which is represented as
P(x) = e-x
1.2
Description
Site 1
Site 2 Site
1
Total users attracted to each
46
383
261
attracti0o.n8
y = e-0.0047x
site (ECS) = Existing Parking demand
0.6
R2 = 1
0.4
% of parking demand attracted to each site
7
55
38
0.2
Additional parking demand due to upcoming
40
35
25
0 establishments
0 200 400 600 800 1000 Total parking demand
86
418
286
1.2
Description
Site 1
Site 2 Site
1
Total users attracted to each
46
383
261
attracti0o.n8
y = e-0.0047x
site (ECS) = Existing Parking demand
0.6
R2 = 1
0.4
% of parking demand attracted to each site
7
55
38
0.2
Additional parking demand due to upcoming
40
35
25
0 establishments
0 200 400 600 800 1000 Total parking demand
86
418
286
Where P(x) is probability of attraction when the impedance factor is x. X is the impedance factor which is the normalized distance to a scale of 0 to 4. The probability of attractions measured through the exponential function is given below.
9
Hiranandani School
OS Garden
0.0
100
0
Based on the attraction indices and the peak parking accumulation in the parking lots, the number of lots possible in each site is worked out.
Table 7: Parking users (ECS) attracted to each site from parking lots in the influence area
SNO
Road name
Site 1
Site 2
Site 3
1
Fab India – BG
0
0
48
2
BG Orchid
0
67
129
3
Histreet Somerset
0
29
10
4
Bayer BG
0
57
37
5
Bayer Shopping
0
0
37
6
Jalvayu School
20
45
0
7
Bayer School
26
72
0
8
Bus terminal Site
0
37
0
9
Hiranandani School
OS Garden
0
77
0
The additional parking demand due to upcoming developments are worked out based on the visual extent and areas of upcoming establishments
3
Probability of
Distance
SNO
Road name
Site 1
Site 2
Site 3
1
Fab India – BG
0.0
0.0
100.0
2
BG Orchid
0.0
34
66
3
Histreet Somerset
0.0
74
26
4
Bayer BG
0.0
61
39
5
Bayer Shopping
0.0
0
20.0
6
Jalvayu School
32.0
68
0
7
Bayer School
20.0
55
0
8
Bus terminal Site
0.0
100
0
SNO
Road name
Site 1
Site 2
Site 3
1
Fab India – BG
0.0
0.0
100.0
2
BG Orchid
0.0
34
66
3
Histreet Somerset
0.0
74
26
4
Bayer BG
0.0
61
39
5
Bayer Shopping
0.0
0
20.0
6
Jalvayu School
32.0
68
0
7
Bayer School
20.0
55
0
8
Bus terminal Site
0.0
100
0
Figure 4 . Measurement of exponential function Table 6: Attraction indices in percentage:
The existing parking demand for the parking market site 1 is 289, and site 3 is 510.
-
Module 5: Assessment of trip growth.
The past growth trends were analyzed and the future parking demand was assessed based on the trend analysis.
The projected growth rates are shown in the table 8.
y = 35.906x-0.5861
R2 = 0.8456
y = 39.912x-1.5839
R2 = 0.9377
y = 35.906x-0.5861
R2 = 0.8456
y = 39.912x-1.5839
R2 = 0.9377
50
45
40
Population
Growth rate
Growth rate
35
30 workers
25 Employment
20 Power (Population)
15
10
5
0
0 1 2 3 4
Year
Power (Employment)
Figure 5 . Assessment of growth rate of trips
Table 8: Projected growth rates in %
Year
Projected growth rate of population
Projected growth rate of employment
Projected growth rate of vehicle registrations
Average growth rate
2001 – 2011
15.9
4.4
136.4
52.2
2011 – 2021
14.0
3.1
137.3
51.5
2021 – 2031
12.6
2.3
138.0
51.0
2031 – 2041
11.5
1.8
138.6
50.6
Module 6: Future parking demand estimation.
The future parking demand forecasted is shown in the following table
Table 9. Future parking demand in ECS.
Year
Site 1
Site 2
Site 3
2012
86
418
286
2014
95
488
325
2021
121
664
583
2031
182
1002
881
2041
275
1510
1327
Module 7: Preliminary traffic impact analysis due to parking markets.
The additional volume on the links and the junctions is estimated based on the traffic mobility patterns and the network analysis. The additional volume generated during the peak hour (12.30 pm) on the intersections in the area of influence is as follows.
Table 10. Additional volume generated during peak hour at the intersections at the area of influence.
Intersection name
Additional volume generated during peak hour in pcu / hr
BG House Junction
428
Jalavayu vihar Jn.
29
NMDC Jn.
0
Bayer House Jn.
36
SM Shetty School Jn.
19
FAB India Jn.
0
Total volume
512
BG House junction is the highest affected junction if the parking markets are open. It is recommended for signalization at this junction. Other junctions in the area of influence are not affected by the opening of parking markets. The additional volume generated during the peak hour (12.30 pm) on the links in the area of influence is as follows.
Link name
Additional volume generated during peak hour in pcu / hr
Influence observed by the parking lot numbers
Powai road
–
–
Orchard Avenue (BG Orchid or Jalvayu BG)
428
2,3,4,5,6,7,9
Brichwood street (BG Bayer)
36
5,7
High street (High street Somerset)
33
7
Central avenue (Bayer Shopping)
–
–
Forest street
(Hiranandani school – OS Garden)
35
7
Ridge street (Jalvayu School)
19
7
Lake Blvd road (Fab India BG)
268
2,3,4,5
Jalvihar road (Jalvayu Junction)
29
6,7
Link name
Additional volume generated during peak hour in pcu / hr
Influence observed by the parking lot numbers
Powai road
–
–
Orchard Avenue (BG Orchid or Jalvayu BG)
428
2,3,4,5,6,7,9
Brichwood street (BG Bayer)
36
5,7
High street (High street Somerset)
33
7
Central avenue (Bayer Shopping)
–
–
Forest street
(Hiranandani school – OS Garden)
35
7
Ridge street (Jalvayu School)
19
7
Lake Blvd road (Fab India BG)
268
2,3,4,5
Jalvihar road (Jalvayu Junction)
29
6,7
Table 11: Additional volume generated during peak hour
Out of all the links / corridors in the influence area, Orchard avenue road is the worst affected road on opening of the parking markets at the proposed sites.
Module 8: Feasibility of the location of parking markets.
Existing parking demand in ECS is 790 for the entire area of influence, out of which 86 are influenced to site 1, 418 to site 2 and 286 to site 3. The future demand at the end of design life of 30 years is 3112 ECS , out of which 275 attribute to site 1, 1510 to site
2 and 1327 to site 3.The parking demand can be considered to the sites when there is a complete restriction to parking on all the sites. Site 2 and 3 are found to have highest potential to attract parking.
-
Conclusion.
A series of parking surveys were undertaken to examine how the proposed developments demand would impact parking markets. Within an acceptable walking distance from the site (the parking survey area) it was found that there were potentially 789 safe car parking spaces. By the end of 2041, it is
forecasted that there is a need for 3112 car parking spaces.
Since all the parking lots in the area of influence are unauthorized parking lots, the potential to the parking markets can be considered if the parking is restricted on the road. But some of the roads in the area of influence offer high level of service inspite of onstreet parking. But based on the existing functional hierarchy of roads , these roads are categorized as sub arterial or collector streets as they are directly connected to an arterial road. Hence it is recommended to impose parking restriction on the roads which increases the potential of the proposed parking markets.
-
References.
-
Young,T.E.(1985)Traffic Management for Special Events. Transportation Research Circular,No.326.
-
Sleepy Hollow Parking Demand Analysis-Sleepy Hollow,New York,January 19,2005.
-
Xiuyuan ZHANG, Yaming SHAO- Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Vol. 5, pp. 891 – 899, 2005 PARKING DEMAND IN THE HICH TECH BUSINESS DISTRICT OF URBAN- 9
-
Wilbur Smith Associates, June 2009-Feasibility study of real time parking information at metrorail parking facilities (virginia stations)
-
Rich and Associates Inc,August 2010-The city of Ocala Parking Study and Master Plan
-
Shoup, Donald. 2005. The High Cost of Free Parking. Chicago: Planners Press.
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Shoup, D. (2002). The Trouble with Minimum Parking Requirements. Victoria, British
Columbia: Victoria Transport Policy Institute.
-
Tsukaguchi,H. and Jung,H.Y.(1989)Optimum Assignment of Parking Place for the Better Use of the Limited Parking Facilities. Technology Reports of the Osaka University.Vol.39.No.1952,pp
-
Tsukaguchi and Jung parking assignment model for the High-tech Business District of Osaka City, Japan
-
Russell, G. T. and Anthony, J.R. (1999) A parking search model, Journal of Transportation Research A.Vol. 32, No.3, 159-170.
-
Evans, S.P. (1976)Derivation and Analysis of Some Models of Combining Trip Distribution and Assignment. Journal of Transportation Research,Vol.10,No.1,pp37-57
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Eldin et al. [12] Traffic assignment problem.
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Anthony Gibbons -PARKING LID FEASIBILITY STUDY Winslow Bainbridge Island,
, MAI, CRE.
-