On Optimal Production scheduling of an EPQ model with Stock dependent Production Rate having Selling Price Dependent Demand and Pareto decay

DOI : 10.17577/IJERTV1IS3188

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On Optimal Production scheduling of an EPQ model with Stock dependent Production Rate having Selling Price Dependent Demand and Pareto decay

1Kesavarao V.V.S., 2Srinivasarao.K., 3Srinivasarao.Y.,

1Affiliation, Professor, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam

2Affiliation, Professor, Department of Statistics, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam,

3Affiliation, St. Theressa Institute of Engg., & Tech., Garividi, Vizianagaram(Dist.),

Abstract

EPQ models play an important role in production and manufacturing units. Much work has been reported in literature regarding EPQ models with finite rate of production. But in many industries lik e agricultural products manufacturing units the production is dependent on stock on hand. Hence in this paper we develop and analyze an EPQ model for deteriorating items with stock dependent production rate having selling price dependent demand and Pareto rate of decay. Using the differential equations the instantaneous state of inventory is derived and with suitable cost considerations the optimal quantity, production uptime and production downtime are obtained for two cases of with and without shortages. The sensitivity analysis of the model revealed that the stock dependent production has a significant influence an optimal production schedule and can reduce total cost of production. This model also includes the finite rate of production inventory model with Pareto decay as a particular case.

Key words: EPQ model, Stock dependent production, Pareto decay.

  1. Introduction

    Much work has been reported in literature regard ing Economic Production Quantity (EPQ) mode ls during the last two decades. The EPQ mode ls are also a particular case of inventory models. The ma jor constituent components of the EPQ mode ls are 1) De mand 2) production (Replen ishment) and 3) Life

    1

    time of the commodity. Several EPQ mode ls have been developed and analyzed with various assumptions on demand pattern and life time of the commodity. In general it is customary to consider that the replenishment is either finite or infinite in production inventory models.

    . Goel and Aggrawal (1980) , Teng, et al.(2005), Srinivasa Rao and Begum (2007), Maiti, et al. (2009), Srinivasa Rao and Patnaik (2010), Tripathy and Misra (2010), Sana (2011) and others have studied inventory models having selling price dependent demand. In all these papers they considered that the replenishment is infinite/fin ite and constant rate. Sridevi, et al. (2010) developed and analyzed an inventory model with the assumption that the rate of production is random and follows a we ibull distribution. However, in many practical situations arising at production processes the production (replenishment) rate is dependent on the stock on hand. The consideration of production rate being dependent on on-hand inventory can significantly reduced wastage of resources and increase profitability.

    Another important consideration for developing the EPQ models for deterio rating ite ms is the life time of the co mmodity. For ite ms like agricultural products, chemica ls etc., the life time of the commodity is random and follows a Pareto distribution. (Srinivasa Rao, et al. (2005), Srin ivasa Rao and Begum (2007), Srinivasa Rao and Eswara Rao (2011)). Very litt le work has been reported in the literature regard ing EPQ models for deteriorat ing items with Pareto decay having stock dependent production rate and selling price dependent demand, even though these models are more useful for deriv ing the optimal production schedules of many production processes. Hence, in this

    paper we develop and analyze an economic production quantity model with stock dependent production having selling price dependent demand and Pareto decay. The Pareto distribution is capable of characterizing the life time of the commodit ies which have a min imu m period to start deterioration and the rate of deterio ration is inversely proportionate to time.

    Using the differential equations the instantaneous state of inventory is derived. With suitable cost considerations the total cost function and profit rate function are derived. By ma ximizing the profit rate function the optima l production quantity, production up time , production down time are derived. A numerical illustration is also discussed. The sensitivity of the model with respect to the costs and parameters is also discussed.

  2. Assumptions and notations of the model

The following assumptions are made for developing the inventory model under study.

  1. Life t ime of the commod ity is random and follo ws

    a pareto distribution having probability density function of the form

    The instantaneous rate of deteriorat ion is .

  2. The demand is a function of selling price and is of the form where, a and d are constant, a > 0, d 0, s is the unit selling price.

    If d = 0 then the demand rate will be constant

  3. The rate of production is dependent on stock on hand and is of the form

    , such that R (t ) 0.

    where, I (t ) is the stock on hand at time t, > 0,

    S2 ma ximu m shortage level

    R (t) rate of production at any time t Sh total shortage cost in a cycle t ime t1 time point at wh ich production

    stops (production down time)

    t2 time point at wh ich shortage begins t3 time point at wh ich production

    resu mes (production uptime)

    3 EPQ model without shortages

    3.1 Model formulation

    Consider a production system in which the production starts at time t = 0 and inventory level gradually increases with the passage of time due to production and demand during the time interval (0, t1). At time t1 the production is stopped and let S1 be the inventory level at that time . Du ring the time interval (t1, T) the inventory decreases partly due to demand and partly due to deterioration of items. The cycle continues when inventory reaches zero at time t = T. The schematic diagra m rep resenting the model is shown in fig.1.

    Inventory level I (t)

    S1

    0 k 1.

    When k=0, this production rate reduces to constant rate of production.

    0 t1

    T Time (t)

  4. There is no repair or replace ment of deteriorated ite ms.

  5. The planning horizon is fin ite. Each cycle will have length T.

  6. Lead time is ze ro.

  7. The inventory holding cost per unit time (h), the shortage cost per unit per unit time (), the unit production cost per unit time (c) and set up cost(A) per cycle are fixed and known.

H total inventory holding cost in a cycle t ime I (t) inventory level at any time t

Q production quantity

S1 ma ximu m inventory level

Fig.1.The schemat ic diagra m representing the inventory level of the system without shortages.

The differentia l equations governing the system in the cycle time (0, T) a re;

.

(2)

With the boundary conditions I (0) = 0 and I (T) = 0. Solving the equations (1) and (2), the instantaneous

2

state of inventory at any time t during the interval (0, t 1) is obtained as

where, (4)

The instantaneous state of inventory at any time t during the interval (t1, T) is obtained as

The total inventory in the time period 0 t t1 is

purchasing cost per unit time and holding cost per unit time i.e.

The total holding cost in a cycle time T is

.By substituting the values for I (t) and Q fro m the equations (3), (5) and (11) in TC(t1,T,s) equation one can get

where, g (t, b, k) is as defned as in equation (4) The total inventory in the time period t1 t T is

The ma ximu m inventory level I (t1) = S1 is

(6)

where ,g (t, b, k) is as defined as in equation (4) Let TR (t1, T, s) be the total revenue per unit time.

where, (9)

The stock loss due to deterioration in the interval (0, T) is given by

Let TP (t1, T, s) be the profit rate function. Then,

The total profit per unit time = total revenue per unit time total cost per unit time,

This imp lies

This imp lies

where, g (t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4) The total production in the cycle time T is

This imp lies

(14)

where ,TC (t1,T, s) is as defined as in equation (12)

3.2. Optimal Operating Policies of the model

In this section, we obtain the optima l pricing and ordering polic ies of the inventory model developed in section.3.1. The proble m is to find the optima l values of t1 and s that ma ximize the profit rate function TP ) over (0, T). To obtain these values, diffe rentiate TP ( given in equation (14) with respect to and s and equate them to zero. The condition for the solutions to be optimal (min imu m) is that the determinant of the Hessian matrix is negative definite i.e.

where ,g(t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4)

(11)

Let TC (t1, T, s) is the total cost per unit time. Then, TC(t1,T,s) sum of the set up cost per unit time,

Diffe rentiating TP (t1, T, s) with respect to t1 and equating to zero one can get

3

This imp lies

where , g(t1,b,k) is as defined as in equation (9)

where, g(t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4)

(15)

(16)

months, decreases the unit selling price s* from Rs.17.343 to Rs .17.073, increases the production quantity Q* from 184.141 to 222.324 units and decrease the total profit TP* fro m Rs. 71.908 to Rs.

61.484. The increase in the parameter a 25 to 45 increase the production down time , the unit selling price s*, the production quantity Q* and the total profit TP*. Whereas the increase in the parameter d 0.8 to 1.2 decrease in the production down time , the unit selling price s*, the production quantity Q* and the total profit TP*.

The increase in unit cost c from Rs. 5 to Rs. 9 has a decreasing effect on , Q* and TP* and increasing effect on s* viz. Production down time fro m 3.876 to.2.173 months, production quantity Q* fro m 184.141to 112.513units and total profit TP* fro m Rs. 71.908 to Rs.23.562 and unit selling price fro m Rs.

17.343 to Rs. 19.33 respectively. The increase in holding cost h fro m Rs. 1 to Rs. 1.8 results increase in optima l values of , s* and Q* and decrease in TP* i.e. production down time fro m3.876 to 5.114 months, unit selling price s* fro m Rs. 17.343 to Rs. 17.591, production quantity Q* from 184.141 to 228.62 units

Solving the non-linear equations (15) and (16) simu ltaneously using numerica l methods and verifying the determinant of Hessian matrix to be negative semi definite for concavity one can get the optima l values fo r t1 and s. Substituting the optima l values of t1 and s in the equations (11) and (14) the optimal values of production quantity Q and total profit TP can be obtained.

    1. Numerical illustration

      To e xpound the model developed, consider the case of deriving an economic production quantity and production down time for an edible oil manufacturing unit. He re, the product is deteriorating type and has random life t ime and assumed to follow a Pa reto distribution. Based on the discussions held with the personnel connected with the production and market ing of the plant and the records, the values of different parameters are considered as T = 12 months, A = Rs. 50, b = 1.2, a = 30, d = 1, h = Rs. 1, c = Rs. 5, k = 0.4

      and = 60.By substituting these values of the parameters and costs in the equations (15) and (16) then solving numerically, the optimal values for production down time t1, unit selling price s, production quantity Q and total profit TP are obtained and are presented in Table.1.

      Fro m Table 1, It is observed that the increase in deterioration para meter b fro m 1.2 to 1.6 increases the production down time fro m 3.876 to 4.678

      4

      and total profit TP* fro m Rs.71.908 to 26.078.

      The increase in production rate parameter k fro m 0.4 to 0.8 results an increase in optimal values of , Q* and TP* and decreasing in s* i.e. production down time fro m 3.876to 5.053 months, production quantity 184.141to 189.103 units and total profit TP* fro m Rs. 71.908 to Rs 88.524. and fro m Rs. 17.343 to Rs. 16.384 Whereas the increase in production rate parameter fro m 60 to 80 results a decrease in optima l values of production down time fro m 3.876 to 2.912 months, total profit Rs.71.908 to Rs.47.218, increase in optima l values of unit selling price s*from Rs. 17.343 to Rs. 18.245 and production quantity from 184.141to 190.872 units respectively.

    2. Sensitivity Analysis

To study the effects of changes in the parameters on the optima l values of production down time and production quantity, sensitivity analysis is performed taking the values of the parameters as b = 1.2, c = Rs. 5, h = Rs. 1, k = 0.4, = 60, a = 30, d = 1,T = 12 months and A = Rs. 50.

Sensitivity analysis is performed by changing the parameter values by -15% , -10%, -5% , 0%, 5%, 10% and 15%. First changing the value of one para meter at a time wh ile keeping a ll the rest at fixed values and then changing the values of all the parameters simu ltaneously, the optima l values of production down time, production quantity, selling price and total

Table 1

OPTIMAL VA LUES OF

t1, s, Q, TP for different values of the para meters for model- without shortages

PARAM ETERS

OPTIMAL VA LUES

b

a

D

c

h

k

A

1.2

30

1.0

5

1.0

0.4

60

50

3.876

17.343

184.141

71.908

1.3

4.102

17.265

194.657

69.069

1.4

4.309

17.195

204.450

66.398

1.5

4.500

17.135

213.310

63.875

1.6

4.678

17.073

222.324

61.484

25

3.081

15.559

150.366

16.476

35

4.495

19.424

211.029

142.568

40

5.001

21.647

234.136

227.433

45

5.426

23.950

254.872

325.966

0.8

3.998

21.003

189.365

127.103

0.9

3.939

18.963

<>186.834

96.370

1.1

3.809

16.031

181.281

52.014

1.2

3.737

14.952

178.215

35.556

6

3.332

17.839

162.406

57.486

7

2.875

18.338

143.366

44.763

8

2.493

18.838

126.836

33.520

9

2.173

19.335

112.513

23.562

1.2

4.290

17.412

119.600

59.293

1.4

4.563

17.474

211.603

47.564

1.6

4.893

17.532

221.063

36.581

1.8

5.114

17.591

228.620

26.078

0.5

4.197

17.163

187.093

76.282

0.6

4.506

17.02

188.804

80.559

0.7

4.794

16.912

189.426

84.658

0.8

5.053

16.834

189.103

88.524

65

3.599

17.566

186.712

65.125

70

3.347

17.792

188.609

58.772

75

3.119

18.018

189.981

52.814

80

2.912

18.245

190.872

47.218

40

3.876

17.343

184.141

72.741

45

3.876

17.343

184.141

72.325

55

3.876

17.343

184.141

71.491

60

3.876

17.343

184.141

71.075

Cycle length T = 12 months

profit are co mputed. The results are presented in Table

2. The relationships between parameters, costs and the optima l values are shown in Fig.2.

Fro m Table 2, It is observed that variation in the deterioration para meters b has considerable effect on production down time , unit selling price s*, optima l production quantity Q* and total profit TP*.Simila rly variation in de mand para meters a and d has slight effect on production down time , unit selling price s*,

5

production quantity Q* and significant effect on total profit TP*.

The decrease in unit cost c results an increase in production down time , optima l production quantity Q*, total profit TP* and decrease in unit selling price s*. The increase in production rate parameter k result variat ion in production down time ,

slight increase in production quantity Q* and total profit TP*.Whereas the increase in production rate parameter result decrease in production down time ,

The differentia l equations describing the instantaneous states of I(t) in the interval (0, T) are given by

total profit TP* and slight increase in production quantity Q*.The increase in holding cost h has

significant effect on optima l values of production down

time , production quantity Q* and total profit TP*. When all the parameters change at a time it has a

significant effect on optima l values of production down time , unit selling price s*, production quantity Q* and total profit TP*.

  1. EPQ Model with Sho rtages

    1. Model Formulation

      Let I (t ) denote the inventory level of the system at t ime

      t. (0 t T)

      (18)

      (19)

      Consider an inventory system for deteriorat ing ite ms in which the life time of the commod ity is random and

      (20)

      follows a pareto distribution. He re, it is assumed that

      shortages are allo wed and fully bac klogged. In this model the stock level for the ite m is init ially zero. Production starts at time t=0 and continues adding ite ms to stock until the on hand inventory reaches its

      with the boundary conditions I (0) =0, I (t2) =0 and I

      (T) =0.Solving the equations (18) to (21) ,the instantaneous state of inventory at any time t, during the interval (0,t1) is obtained as

      ma ximu m level S1 at time t = t1. During the time (0, t1) stock is depleted by demand and deterioration while

      (21)

      production is continuously adding to it. At t = t 1 the production is stopped and stock will be depleted by deterioration and demand until it reaches zero at t ime t

      = t2. As demand is assumed to occur continuously, at this point shortages begin to accumulate until the backlog reaches its ma ximu m level of S2 at t = t3. At this point production resumes meeting the current demand and clearing the backlog. Fina lly shortages will

      where , g (t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4)

      The instantaneous state of inventory at any time t, during the interval (t1, t2) is obtained as

      The instantaneous state of inventory at any time t, during the interval (t2, t3) is obtained as

      be cleared at time t = T. Then the cycle will be repeated

      identically. Thes e types of production systems are

      , t2 t t3 (23)

      common in production process dealing agricultural products, where production rate is stock dependent. The

      The instantaneous state of inventory at any time t during the interval (t3, T) is obtained as

      schematic diagra m representing the invento ry system is

      shown in figure 3

      , t3 t T (24)

      Inventory level I (t)

      Using the equations (21) and (22) the total volume of inventory for the respective time periods are obtained as follows

      The total inventory in the time period 0 t t1 is

      S1

      Time(t )

      where ,g(t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4) The total inventory in the time period t1 t t2 is

      0 t1 t2 t3 T

      S2

      Fig 3; Sche matic diagra m representing the inventory level of the system for the modelwith shortags

      6

      (26)

      Table 2

      Sensitivity analysis of the model- without shortages

      Variation Para meters

      Optima l Policies

      Change in para meters (T = 12 Months)

      -15%

      -10%

      -5%

      0%

      5%

      10%

      15%

      b(1.2)

      3.414

      3.577

      3.731

      3.876

      4.014

      4.144

      4.269

      17.508

      17.499

      17.394

      17.343

      17.296

      17.251

      17.209

      163.100

      170.461

      177.473

      184.141

      190.541

      196.637

      202.544

      77.525

      75.571

      73.702

      71.908

      70.183

      68.522

      66.920

      a(30)

      3.303

      3.508

      3.698

      3.876

      4.044

      4.202

      4.352

      15.959

      16.395

      16.859

      17.343

      17.845

      18.36

      18.887

      159.798

      168.489

      176.555

      184.141

      191.341

      198.172

      204.095

      28.813

      42.188

      56.563

      71.908

      88.198

      105.415

      116.112

      d(1)

      3.969

      3.939

      3.908

      3.876

      3.843

      3.809

      3.774

      19.921

      18.963

      18.109

      17.343

      16.654

      16.031

      15.466

      188.120

      186.834

      185.508

      184.141

      183.994

      181.281

      179.789

      110.815

      96.370

      83.478

      71.908

      61.467

      52.014

      43.411

      c(5)

      4.347

      4.184

      4.027

      3.876

      3.732

      3.593

      3.460

      16.977

      17.098

      17.220

      17.343

      17.466

      17.59

      17.714

      202.236

      196.045

      190.011

      184.141

      178.479

      172.952

      167.606

      83.975

      79.826

      75.805

      71.908

      68.131

      64.471

      60.924

      h(1)

      3.500

      3.632

      3.758

      3.876

      3.988

      4.095

      4.195

      17.281

      17.303

      17.324

      17.343

      17.361

      17.379

      17.396

      169.558

      174.739

      179.621

      184.141

      188.383

      192.394

      196.106

      82.401

      78.786

      75.293

      71.908

      68.619

      65.415

      62.289

      k(0.4)

      3.685

      3.748

      3.812

      3.876

      3.941

      4.005

      4.069

      17.468

      17.425

      17.383

      17.343

      17.304

      17.267

      17.231

      181.863

      182.650

      183.422

      184.141

      184.848

      185.47

      186.050

      69.276

      70.152

      71.030

      71.908

      72.786

      73.663

      74.539

      (60)

      4.451

      4.248

      4.057

      3.876

      3.706

      3.546

      3.396

      16.951

      17.080

      17.211

      17.343

      17.477

      17.611

      17.747

      177.715

      180.152

      182.303

      184.141

      185.741

      187.114

      188.301

      85.324

      80.669

      76.200

      71.908

      67.785

      63.821

      60.010

      A(50)

      3.876

      3.876

      3.876

      3.876

      3.876

      3.876

      3.876

      17.343

      17.343

      17.343

      17.343

      17.343

      17.343

      17.343

      184.741

      184.741

      184.741

      184.741

      184.741

      184.741

      184.741

      72.533

      72.325

      72.116

      71.908

      71.7

      71.491

      71.283

      All para meters

      3.44

      3.590

      3.735

      3.876

      4.013

      4.144

      4.271

      17.534

      17.457

      17.394

      17.343

      17.302

      17.270

      17.246

      144.276

      157.362

      170.646

      184.141

      197.822

      211.588

      225.495

      90.993

      85.331

      78.970

      71.908

      64.146

      55.683

      46.522

      7

      Fig.2: Relat ionship between optimal va lues and parameters

      Since I (t) is continuous at t2 equating (22) and (23) one can get

      (27)

      This equation can be used to establish the relationship between t3 and t2.

      The ma ximu m inventory level I (t1) = S1 obtained as

      (28)

      The stock loss due to deterioration in the interval (0, T) is

      This imp lies

      where, g(t1,b,k) is as defined as in equation (.9).

      Similarly the ma ximu m shortage level

      I (t3) = S2 obtained as

      (29)

      Backlogged demand at time t is

      8

      This imp lies

      (31)

      By substituting the values of I(t) and Q fro m the equations (21) to (24) and (32) in TC(t1,t3,T,s) equation, one can get

      The total production in the cycle time T is

      (32)

      On integrating and simplify ing the above equation one can get

      where, g(t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4)

      The total cost per unit time TC (t1, t3,T, s) is the sum of the setup cost per unit time, purchasing cost per unit

      time, hold ing cost per unit time and the shortage cost

      per unit time i.e.

      The total holding cost in a cycle time is

      The total shortage cost in a cycle time is

      Therefore

      where, g(t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4)

      Let TR (t1, t3, T, s) be the total revenue per unit time .

      9

      Also let TP (t1, t3, T, s) be the profit rate function. Then,

      Total profit per unit time = Total Revenue per unit time

      Total cost per unit time.

      This imp lies

      (35)

      where ,TC (t1, t3, T,s) is as given in equation (33)

    2. Optimal operating policies of the model

      In this section, the optima l policies of the invento ry system developed in section 4.1 are derived. To find

      the optimal va lues of production down time (t1) and

      production up time (t3) and optima l selling price (s)

      ,one has to ma ximize the total profit TP (t1, t3,T,s) in

      equation (35) with respect to t1, t3 and s and equate the resulting equations to zero. The condition for the

      solutions to be optima l (minimu m) is that the determinant of the Hessian matrix is negative definite i.e.

      The necessary conditions which ma ximize TP (t1, t3, T, s) is

      2 11 3 + 1+ + 121

      where, g(t1,b,k) is as defined as in equation (9)

      (36)

      where , g(t,b,k) is as defined as in equation (4)

      Solving the non-linear equations (36) to (38) by using MathCAD one can obtain the optima l production down and up times , and selling price .Substituting in equation (27) is obtained. The optima l production quantity Q* is obtained by substituting and in equation (32).

    3. NUMERICAL ILLUS TRATION

      To e xpound the model developed, consider the case of deriving and economic production quantity, production down time, production up time and selling price for an edible oil plant. He re the product is of a deteriorating

      10

      type and has a random life t ime which is assumed to follow pareto distribution. Form the records and discussions held with the production and market ing personnel the values of various parameters are considered. For different values of the parameters and costs, the optima l va lues of production down time, production up time, selling price, optima l production quantity and total profit are co mputed and presented in Table3.

      Fro m Table 3, it is observed that the when b

      increases from 1.2 to 1.6 units the production down time is decreasing, production quantity Q* is increasing and the total profit TP* is decreasing i.e. decreases fro m 1.989 to 1.860 months, Q* increases fro m 162.212 to 173.697 units and total profit TP* decreases from Rs. 114.092 to Rs.112.809. There is a decrease in production up time fro m 11.038 to 10.870 months and slight increase in selling price

      fro m Rs. 13.275 to Rs. 13.330.

      When the demand parameter a increases 25 to 29 then the optima l production down time is increases, production up time is decreasing, optima l values of selling price, production quantity and total profit a re increasing i.e . fro m 1.989 to 2.001 months, fro m 11.038 to 10.765 months, fro m Rs. 13.275 to Rs.15.166, Q* fro m 162.212 to 179.802 units and TP* fro m Rs. 114.092 to Rs. 164.702. Similarly when the demand parameter d increases 0.8 to 1.2 results , increase production up time fro m 11.038 to 11.059 months, decrease in production down time fro m 1.989 to 1.976 months, selling price fro m Rs. 13.275 to Rs. 11.205, p roduction quantity Q* fro m 162.212 to

      160.299 units and total profit TP* fro m Rs. 114.092 to

      Rs. 88.241.

      The increase in holding cost h from Rs. 0.2 to Rs. 0.6 results decrease in production down time

      fro m 1.996 to 1.979 months, production up time , fro m 11.280 to 10.733 months, increase in selling price

      fro m Rs. 13.170 to Rs. 13.457, production quantity

      Q* fro m 148.048 to 179.995 units and decrease in total profit TP* fro m Rs. 117.352 to Rs.109.026. The increase in unit cost c from Rs. 1 to Rs. 5 results slight increase in production down time fro m 1.986 to

      2.005 months, production up time, fro m 10.680 to 11.730 months, selling price fro m Rs. 12.858 to Rs. 13.854, decrease in production quantity Q* from 183.681 to 121.249 units and total profit TP* fro m Rs. 127.722 to Rs. 77.587.

      The increase in shortage cost from Rs. 0.2 to

      Rs. 0.6 has effect on all optimal va lues of fro m 1.990 to 1.899 months, fro m 11.034 to 11.081 months, selling price from Rs.13.316 to Rs.13.227,

      production quantity Q* from 162.486 to 155.468 units and total profit TP* fro m Rs. 115.048 to Rs. 111.855.The increase in production rate parameter k

      0.3 to 0.7 results decrease in production down time fro m 1.989 to 1.988 months, production up time , fro m11.075 to 10.945 months, selling price s * fro m Rs.

      13.308 to Rs. 13.188, production quantity Q* fro m

      163.272 to 159.272 units and total profit TP* increase fro m Rs. 113.514 to Rs. 115.446.Simila rly the increase in production rate parameter 50 to 70 results increase in production down time fro m 1.986 to 1.990 months, production up time, fro m10.719 to

      11.259 months, selling price s * fro m Rs. 13.160 to Rs. 13.376, production quantity Q* fro m 151.646 to

      173.199 units and total profit TP* decrease from Rs.

      117.071 to Rs. 110.952.

      4.4 S ENSITIVITY ANALYS IS

      To study the effect of changes in the parameters and costs on the optima l values of production down time, production up time, unit selling price and production quantity, sensitivity analysis is performed taking the values A = Rs. 50, c =Rs. 2, h = Rs. 0.3, T = 12 months, = Rs. 0.3, a = 25, d = 1, k = 0.4, b = 1.2 and = 60.

      Sensitivity analysis is performed by changing the parameters by -15% , -10% , -5% , 0% , 5% , 10% and 15%. First changing the value of one para meter at a time wh ile keeping a ll the rest at fixed values and then changing the values of all the parameters simu ltaneously, the optimal values t1,t3,s,Q and TP are computed and the results are presented in Table 4. The relationships between parameters, costs and the optima l values are shown in figure4.

      Fro m Table 4, it is observed that the deteriorating parameter b has less effect on production down time, production up time, unit selling price and significant effect on production quantity and total profit. Decrease in unit cost c results decrease in production down time, production up time, selling price, increase in production quantity Q* and total profit TP*. The increase in production rate parameter has less effect on production down time, production up time, unit selling price, moderate effect on production quantity Q* and total profit TP* respectively.Increase in holding cost h results significant variation in production quantity Q* and decrease in total profit TP*. The increase in shortage cost results less effect on production quantity Q* and total profit TP*.

      11

      Table .3

      OPTIMAL VA LUES OF

      t1, t3, s, Q and TP for different values of the para meters and costs for the model- with shortages

      PARAM ETERS(T = 12 Months)

      OPTIMAL POLICIES

      b

      a

      d

      c

      h

      k

      A

      1.2

      25

      1.0

      2

      0.3

      0.4

      60

      0.2

      50

      1.989

      11.038

      13.275

      162.212

      114.092

      1.3

      1.988

      10.994

      13.276

      165.385

      113.677

      1.4

      1.987

      10.955

      <>13.277

      168.212

      113.282

      1.5

      1.986

      10.918

      13.280

      170.878

      112.905

      1.6

      1.860

      10.870

      13.330

      173.697

      112.809

      26

      1.990

      10.973

      13.749

      166.32

      126.021

      27

      1.995

      10.906

      14.320

      170.704

      138.411

      28

      1.996

      10.833

      14.692

      175.325

      151.320

      29

      2.001

      10.765

      15.166

      179.802

      164.702

      0.8

      2.009

      11.018

      16.383

      164.387

      152.932

      0.9

      1.997

      11.028

      14.656

      163.207

      131.352

      1.1

      1.983

      11.049

      12.145

      161.249

      99.981

      1.2

      1.976

      11.059

      11.205

      160.299

      88.241

      1

      1.986

      10.680

      12.858

      183.681

      127.722

      3

      1.991

      11.317

      13.562

      145.476

      101.125

      4

      1.999

      11.537

      13.740

      132.589

      88.945

      5

      2.005

      11.730

      13.854

      121.249

      77.587

      0.2

      1.996

      11.280

      13.170

      148.048

      117.352

      0.4

      1.991

      10.899

      13.350

      170.621

      111.893

      0.5

      1.975

      10.803

      13.412

      175.624

      110.341

      0.6

      1.979

      10.733

      13.457

      179.995

      109.026

      0.3

      1.989

      11.075

      13.308

      163.272

      113.514

      0.5

      1.988

      11.005

      13.243

      160.98

      114.617

      0.6

      1.988

      10.974

      13.215

      160.154

      115.051

      0.7

      1.988

      10.945

      13.188

      159.275

      115.446

      50

      1.986

      10.719

      13.160

      151.646

      117.071

      55

      1.987

      10.895

      13.220

      156.792

      115.605

      65

      1.990

      11.159

      13.328

      167.598

      112.541

      70

      1.990

      11.259

      13.376

      173.199

      110.952

      0.2

      1.990

      11.034

      13.316

      162.486

      115.048

      0.4

      1.986

      11.044

      13.238

      161.725

      113.170

      0.5

      1.988

      11.054

      13.204

      161.228

      112.266

      0.6

      1.899

      11.081

      13.227

      155.468

      111.855

      40

      1.989

      11.038

      13.275

      162.212

      114.926

      45

      1.989

      11.038

      13.275

      162.212

      114.509

      55

      1.989

      11.038

      13.275

      162.212

      113.676

      60

      1.989

      11.038

      13.275

      162.212

      113.259

      12

      Tab le 4; sensitivity analysis of the model- with shortages

      Variation

      Para meters

      Optima l

      Policies

      Change in para meters(T = 12 Months)

      -15%

      -10%`

      -5%

      0%

      +5%

      +10%

      +15%

      b

      1.990

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.988

      1.987

      11.133

      11.100

      11.071

      11.038

      11.012

      10.986

      10.963

      s*

      13.277

      13.276

      13.276

      13.275

      13.274

      13.274

      13.274

      Q*

      155.38

      157.728

      159.86

      162.212

      164.126

      165.976

      167.629

      TP*

      114.893

      114.623

      114.356

      114.092

      113.839

      113.595

      113.361

      a

      1.984

      1.984

      1.985

      1.989

      1.992

      1.994

      1.996

      11.272

      11.202

      11.122

      11.038

      10.954

      10.861

      10.782

      s*

      11.450

      12.097

      12.687

      13.275

      13.864

      14.561

      15.048

      Q*

      147.352

      151.736

      156.785

      162.212

      167.594

      173.438

      178.507

      TP*

      73.738

      86.426

      99.885

      114.092

      129.069

      144.79

      161.327

      d

      1.996

      1.996

      1.993

      1.989

      1.985

      1.983

      1.980

      11.021

      11.028

      11.033

      11.038

      11.044

      11.049

      11.054

      s*

      15.468

      14.656

      13.928

      13.275

      12.683

      12.145

      11.654

      Q*

      163.595

      163.161

      162.710

      162.212

      161.654

      161.249

      160.798

      TP*

      141.534

      131.356

      122.265

      114.092

      106.703

      99.981

      93.852

      c

      1.988

      1.988

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.99

      10.941

      10.975

      11.007

      11.038

      11.069

      11.099

      11.128

      s*

      13.165

      13.203

      13.239

      13.275

      13.308

      13.341

      13.372

      Q*

      168.020

      165.968

      164.083

      162.212

      160.342

      158.532

      156.828

      TP*

      118.126

      116.777

      115.429

      114.092

      112.763

      111.441

      110.12

      h

      1.991

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.988

      1.987

      1.987

      11.130

      11.096

      11.069

      11.038

      11.013

      10.989

      10.967

      s*

      13.234

      13.247

      13.265

      13.275

      13.287

      13.300

      13.310

      Q*

      156.797

      158.741

      160.355

      162.212

      163.662

      165.02

      166.369

      TP*

      115.375

      114.924

      114.497

      114.092

      113.718

      113.363

      113.023

      k

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      11.060

      11.053

      11.045

      11.038

      11.031

      11.024

      11.018

      s*

      13.294

      13.288

      13.281

      13.275

      13.268

      13.262

      13.256

      Q*

      162.829

      162.593

      162.428

      162.212

      162.006

      161.810

      161.562

      TP*

      113.755

      113.871

      113.983

      114.092

      114.199

      114.303

      114.405

      1.987

      1.988

      1.988

      1.989

      1.989

      1.99

      1.992

      10.759

      10.87

      10.956

      11.038

      11.119

      11.180

      11.246

      s*

      13.173

      13.216

      13.242

      13.275

      13.315

      13.337

      13.348

      Q*

      152.602

      155.4

      158.922

      162.212

      165.027

      168.732

      171.786

      TP*

      116.782

      115.909

      115.005

      114.092

      113.169

      112.226

      111.252

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.989

      1.988

      11.036

      11.037

      11.038

      11.038

      11.039

      11.04

      11.041

      s*

      13.293

      13.287

      13.28

      13.275

      13.269

      13.263

      13.257

      Q*

      162.327

      162.268

      162.211

      162.212

      162.154

      162.096

      161.991

      TP*

      114.522

      114.378

      114.235

      114.092

      113.950

      113.809

      113.673

      All Para meters

      1.999

      1.991

      1.989

      1.989

      1.988

      1.986

      1.982

      11.139

      11.102

      11.073

      11.038

      11.01

      10.983

      10.98

      s*

      13.165

      13.203

      13.243

      13.275

      13.31

      13.342

      13.352

      Q*

      133.922

      143.16

      152.381

      162.212

      171.752

      181.332

      189.304

      TP*

      101.411

      105.866

      110.092

      114.092

      117.887

      121.473

      124.883

      13

      Fig 4. Re lationship between optima l values and parameters

      14

      International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology (IJERT)

      ISSN: 2278-0181

      Vol. 1 Issue 3, May – 2012

      A comparative study of with and without shortages revealed that allowing shortages has significant influence in optima l production schedule and total profit. This model includes some of the earlier inventory models for deteriorating ite ms with Pareto decay as particular cases for specific values of the parameters. When k = 0 this model inc ludes EPQ model for deteriorating ite ms with Pareto decay and selling price dependent demand and finite rate of replenishment. When b = 0 this model beco mes EPQ model with stock dependent production and selling price dependent demand. When d=0 this model includes EPQ model for deterio rating ite ms with pareto decay and constant demand.

  2. Conclusions

    In this paper, production level inventory models for deteriorating ite ms with selling price dependent demand and Pareto deterioration for both without and with shortages are developed and analyzed. By ma ximizing the total profit function the optimal values of the production quantity, production down time, production uptime and unit selling price are derived. The sensitivity model with respect to the parameters and costs revealed that the change in production rate parameters and deteriorating parameters have significant influence on optimal production schedule. By suitably estimating the parameters and costs the production manager can optima lly derive the production schedule and reduce waste and variation of resources. This model is having potential applications in manufacturing and production industries like edib le oil mills, sugar factories, etc., where the deterioration of the commodity is random and follo ws Pareto distribution and having selling price dependent demand .

  3. References

  1. Goel, V.P. and A ggarwal, S.P.Pricing and ordering policy with general Weibull rate of deteriorating inventory , Indian Journ.Pure Appl.Math., Vol.11 (5),1980, 618-627.

  2. M aiti, A.K., M ahathi, M .K. and M aiti, M . , Inventory model with Stochastic lead time and price dependent demand incorporating advance payment, Applied Mathematical Modeling, Vol.33,2009, No.5, 2433-2443.

  3. Sana, S.S Price sensitive demand for perishable items- An EOQ model applied mathematics and computation Vol.217, 2011, 6248-6259.

  4. Sridevi G, Nirupama Devi K and Srinivasa Rao K., Inventory model for deteriorating items with weibull rate of replenishment and selling price dependent demand International journal of operational research,2010, Vol. 9(3) 329-349.

  5. Srinivasa Rao K and begum K.J Inventory models with generalized pareto decay and finite rate of production, Stochastic modeling and application, Vol. 10(1 and 2),2007, 13-27.

  6. Srinivasa Rao K. Begum K.J and Vivekananda M urty M Optimal ordering policies of inventory model for deteriorating items having generalized pareto lifetime, Current science, 2007, Vol. 93, No.10,1407-1411.

  7. Srinivasa Rao K, Vivekananda murthy and Eswara Rao S Optimal ordering and pricing policies of inventory models for deteriorating items with generalized pareto lifetime, Journal of stochastic processes and its applications Vol. 8(1) 59-72,2005.

  8. Teng, J.T and Chang, C.T.Economic production quantity models for deteriorating items with price and stock dependent demand, Computers operations research, Vol. 32,2005, No.2, 297-308.

  9. Tripathy, C.K. and M ishra, U An inventory model for weibull deteriorating items with price dependent demand and time-varying holding cost, International journal of commutating and applied mathematics, Vol. 4,2010, No. 2, 2171-2179.

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